The options structure shows extreme call skew with net positioning heavily positive from 100 through 120, reflecting the 42% three-month rally and Middle East supply risk premium. Put buyers have fortified 85 as the line in the sand with over 22,000 contracts. Realized volatility from the recent surge (today's range spanning nearly 5 points) suggests implied levels may underpriced near-term event risk given ongoing geopolitical catalysts.
The options structure shows extreme call skew with net positioning heavily positive from 100 through 120, reflecting the 42% three-month rally and Middle East supply risk premium. Put buyers have fortified 85 as the line in the sand with over 22,000 contracts. Realized volatility from the recent surge (today's range spanning nearly 5 points) suggests implied levels may underpriced near-term event risk given ongoing geopolitical catalysts.